The outcome of the 2014 Scottish referendum on the constitutional future of the United Kingdom (UK) may have noticeable impact on future migration to and from Scotland.

This briefing addresses some of the issues that are currently being investigated by the ESRC Centre for Population Change, examining the possible effects of Scottish independence on internal and international migration. In particular, it presents selected results of an expert survey on future migration trends carried out amongst the members of the academic community and civil service in Scotland, which have been used to inform forecasts of migration into and out of Scotland, especially with regard to their uncertainty.