David Bell

Professor of Economics
University of Stirling

Biography

Beliefs about how the Scottish economy may perform after independence will be critical to the outcome of the 2014 referendum on Scottish independence. Aside from its effect on income, another major concern for voters will be whether an independent Scottish economy will be able or wish to support the level of public services they currently enjoy. Taxpayers will want to know how taxes may change to pay for public services after independence.

This fellowship will produce original research looking at fiscal aspects of the constitutional change debate in the UK. It will encompass both taxes and spending, and will offer insights into questions such as: How would public services be funded in an independent Scotland? Would current levels of services – and the taxation that funds them – be similar, or vary up or down?

Fellowship website: Scottish Fiscal and Economic Studies (ScotFES)

Expertise

Constitution

RT @golau_podcast: Prof Danny Dorling's research has provoked debate about Wales's vote for #Brexit in 2016. For another perspective you ca…

6 hours ago

RT @UKandEU: John Curtice @whatukthinks on increasing indyref2 support: "All of this increase in support for Yes registered by the polls ha…

7 hours ago

RT @asenevents: CALL FOR PAPERS ASEN Annual Conference 'Nationalism and Multiculturalism' 22-23 April at @EdinburghUni Abstract Submis…

2 days ago

This week marks 5 years since #indyref. What has changed? What remains the same? @McEwen_Nicola @MalcH @EveVHepburn… https://t.co/I0P6tkLNJ9

3 days ago

Posts by this author

GM foods, the US-UK Trade Negotiations and Scottish Food Production: A Heady Mix

Professor David Bell, of the University of Stirling, looks ahead to the US-UK trade negotiations post Brexit and how US demands will inevitably produce pitched battles over food quality standards, not least in Scotland.
Brexit

Impact of a Brexit “No Deal” on Scotland Revisited

Professor David Bell asks what would a chaotic Brexit mean for the Scottish economy? In the run-up, there is likely to be further downward pressure on the pound which will increase prices, but make exports more competitive, though export volumes are unlikely to react quickly.
agriculture

Brexit, devolution and agriculture: a case study in complexity

David Bell explains that following Brexit, the UK will establish a new set of trade relationships. Agreements about the conduct of agricultural trade will form an important part of this new system.
EU flag with question mark

David Bell: The problem with the future is that there are no 'facts', just predictions

On the eve of the EU referendum, David Bell sorts what we know from what we can only surmise.
Betting odds

More on the Bookies Odds of BREXIT

David Bell provides further explanation on his estimates using bookies odds. He stresses that those betting on the outcome of an event do not need to be a representative sample of the population – they are predicting, not voting.
Britain's Decision book cover

#EURef - The economy: how closely is our economy aligned with the EU?

David Bell analyses the economic position of the UK – and particularly Scotland – within the EU.