Public Attitudes

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John Curtice discusses the most recent polls and how in the final week of the campaign we may secure a clearer and more consistent picture of just where the referendum race stands.

The last ten days have transformed perceptions of the referendum race. Although they persistently and consistently disagreed about the size of its lead, every independently commissioned poll had hitherto put No ahead. Few expected anything other than a majority vote to stay in the Union.

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Over the past few months a number of world leaders have felt compelled to comment on the independence debate in Scotland and the UK. The Australian and Canadian prime ministers, Tony Abbott and Stephen Harper (both countries themselves have large Scottish populations), the Chinese premiere Li Keqiang, the Indian foreign minister Sushma Swaraj, the former Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt and the US President Barack Obama to name a few. So what might be prompting such interventions?

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Charlie Jeffery weighs in on the latest YouGov poll and proposals for further devolution.

With ten days to go the debate is suddenly transformed. YouGov's latest polling has set the pro-independence cat among the pro-union pigeons. Its poll last week showed a rapid narrowing to 53% No and 47% Yes, and the latest one for the Sunday Times on 7 September put Yes ahead at 51% to 49%.

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