Over the past year, we've showcased expert perspectives on the campaigns, the key issues, and the public debate. Researchers from the Future of the UK and Scotland programme gave hundreds of interviews to news outlets during the week of the referendum. Although final figures are still being calculated, the communications team estimates our global reach as “in the tens of millions of readers, viewers and listeners” domestically and worldwide. On the night itself, our experts provided commentary on BBC Scotland, BBC1, Radio Scotland, BBC Radio 4, BBC Radio 5 Live, the World Service, BBC World News, CNN, Al Jazeera and elsewhere.
In the immediate aftermath of the referendum result, our academics weigh in on the results and the implications for further devolution, for the SNP, and for the rest of the UK. In the weeks and months ahead, we will continue to bring you expert analysis of the indyref result and events as they unfold, both online on the blog and through our events.
How can we explain the results?
John Curtice joins us to evaluate the success of the polls in predicting the referendum outcome. All of the major polls identified the winner but were between -2 and -3 points off in predicting the final result. David Bell, who has kept us updated on the latest bookmakers’ odds throughout the campaign, argues that bookies were in fact, more accurate than polling, in his Bookies 1, Polls 0 piece.
In a guest post, Eve Hepburn discusses what Scottish voters might be thinking and feeling in the days after the referendum. Kirstein Rummery explores how a new citizen-led politics might take root inScotland.
What happens next?
Malcolm Harvey reflects on the result, noting that in one sense, the answer to Scotland’s political future was comprehensively answered with the outcome of the independence referendum. However, beyond that restatement of Scotland’s place in the Union, little else of Scotland’s future is clear.
James Mitchell turns his gaze to the SNP, asking what next for the party in the wake of a no vote and Alex Salmond’s impending resignation as First Minister.
Richard Parry notes the likelihood of a race to policy as UK parties attempt to translate ‘the vow' into meaningful political action. This might be easier said than done, writes Michael Keating in his blog on the the timeframe presented by the UK parties in the run-up to the referendum, arguing that while a clear mandate for constitutional change exists, a period of considered reflection is required. Charlie Jeffery describes a constitutional chain reaction which appears poised to transform the UK’s entire constitutional settlement.
David Bell and David Eiser explore fiscal power issues and the proposals that have already been tabled in a blog on Scotland’s fiscal future.
In a two part series debuting today, Paul Cairney looks at the concept of devo-max and unpacks what exactly devo-max might mean.